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Oil and God



Religious extremism in the Middle East surfaced after the dismemberment of the Ottoman Empire in 1918. What caused the transformation from a tolerant Sunni Hanafi empire to the ferocious religious wars which now plague the Middle East?      


Oil and God is an unabashed realpolitik study of the culprits. It analyses the complex relationships between and among the different players in Middle Eastern affairs and the stake each has in the region’s sectarian wars. The book explores the roots of the current jihadist movements, Saudi Arabia’s Wahhabi culture, the Arab Israeli conflict, the Alawite regime in Syria, the Khomeini Shi’ite revolution, the 9/11 terror attacks, and the Shi’ite/Sunni wars.    


Oil and God examines the tensions that fuel events such as the Arab Spring and the different histories, cultural values, and religious priorities that underlie the level of success each country has had on its trajectory to democracy with the credibility of an insider.


Oil and God relates US oil geopolitics to Saudi Arabia’s symbiotic union with Wahhabism. The book investigates why President G.W. Bush occupied Iraq, not Saudi Arabia, why and how Tehran dominated Baghdad, why President Obama handed Syria to Iran, and why President Trump has fundamentally followed the Bush and Obama playbook on the Middle East.


Oil and God contends that hegemony over oil exports is world hegemony and that US control over Saudi oil is a non-lethal weapon of mass destruction. The book holds that national security concerns of the big oil importers in Europe and Asia, especially China, will drive renewable energy development to end oil imports. When that happens, possibly between 2030 and 2040, US protection of Riyadh will wane, Saudi cash will dwindle, Wahhabi terror will diminish, and democracy will have a chance to take root in Arab lands.


Oil and God is a must read for students, academics, business people, journalists, and politicians.

Oil and God
Chapter Summaries 
Chapter One

Oil and God in Brief


The first chapter summarizes Oil and God. It explains the factors that shape the book. Given the strong attachment of Middle Eastern Muslims to Islam, two policy implications are concluded. First: religious minorities must never rule over the majority—witness the calamitous destruction of Syria at the hands of the Assad family’s 10% Alawite minority. Secondly, if governments in the Arab world are to become representatives of the people, and respectful of the rule of law and human rights, democracy is a must. As examples of the undemocratic Middle East, Saudi Arabia’s exploitation of Wahhabi Islam and the ayatollahs’ exploitation of Shi’ism in Iran are described.


The book argues that oil hegemony means world hegemony. For Washington, it is important to influence/control the oil politics of Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter and swing producer, not because America needs Saudi oil, but to assert Washington’s superpower status. Control over a big proportion of world’s oil exports is like a non-lethal weapon of mass destruction (WMD). The nexus of US politics, Saudi oil and God is discussed, and the delicate and complicated US/Saudi relationship is considered from both American and Saudi viewpoints. 


Oil has protected the al-Saud regime before and after 9/11. The Bush administration ignored Wahhabi culpability. Instead, it occupied Iraq, which led to Iran’s control over Iraq and the empowerment of the ayatollahs in the Middle East.


The combination of oil and God allows Saudi Arabia’s kings to act like hostage takers, forcing oil-importing countries to tolerate their regime to avoid the risk of oil interruption. It is only when demand for imported oil by US rivals, like China; the world’s largest oil importer, continental Europe, India, and Japan is replaced by sustainable sources of energy such as solar, wind, hydropower, and nuclear fusion, that Wahhabi terror will be defeated.  


Oil and God is shaped by the interaction between the effects of two epic events since 9/11/2001. The first is the Arab Spring. Beginning in 2011, it planted a resilient seed in the heads of Arabs that parliamentary democracy is compatible with Islam, a serious blow to the Wahhabi doctrine, which teaches that democracy is a Western conspiracy to destroy Islam. The second event is the empowerment of Iran since 9/11 by US presidents G.W. Bush and Barack Obama.


Today, Saudi Arabia is caught between the democratic values of the Arab Spring and the Wahhabi ideology of al-Qaeda and the so-called Islamic State. To claim the high religious ground, the al-Saud regime is expected to maintain the fundamentals of the Wahhabi culture it introduced in 1932. To maintain its grip on power, the regime will not adopt an iota of genuine democratic reform. 



Chapter Two

Islam, the Arab Masses, and Arab Rulers’ Exploitation of Islam to Stay in Power


Chapters Two and Three are intended to enhance understanding and appreciation of the pivotal role Islam plays in the private lives of Muslims, and the politics of the Middle East. 


Chapter Two addresses the strong attachment the Arab peoples has to Islam. It explains how moderate Muslims, Islamists, and jihadists relate to the Islamic text. The chapter explains how Arab rulers use the palace ulama (Muslim scholars thought to have serious knowledge of theology and sacred law) to exploit the Qur’anic Verse 4:59 in order to turn blind obedience to their benefactors into a form of piety. The belief in predestination helps the ulama to remind the faithful that, even an unjust ruler is ordained by God. Chapter Two looks at how jihadist leaders justify rebellion against the Muslim ruler, in a challenge to Verse 4:59.



Chapter Three

Islamic Beliefs and Sects 

The third chapter outlines the basic beliefs a good Muslim must adhere to. The belief in predestination and the fear of innovation are addressed.

Chapter three compares the process of Sunni law-making with Shi’ite law-making. It describes the four sources of Sunni law: The Qur’an, Prophetic Sunna, Analogical Deduction, and Consensus of the ulama This contrasts with only three sources of Shi’ite law: The Qur’an, Prophetic Sunna (according to Shi’ite sources), and Shi’ite ulama’s intellectual reasoning.

This chapter discusses the concept of the infallible Shi’ite Imams, the doctrine of the return of the Hidden Twelfth Imam to the Earth, the effect the doctrine has had on the reporting of the Shi’ite Prophetic Sunna, the delegation of the Hidden Imam’s boundless authority and infallible judgment to Shi’ite ulama. All of these constructions are anathema to Sunni ulama.

Also discussed in Chapter three is Grand Ayatollah Khomeini’s revolutionary assertion that the senior-most Shi’ite cleric, as the deputy of the Hidden Imam, has the right to oversee all religious, social, and political affairs of Iran. This doctrine handed Khomeini and his successors absolute theocratic authority/dictatorship.

The Appendix to Chapter three considers how the Sunni ulama elevated the Prophetic Sunna into a source of law equal to the Holy Qur’an.



Chapter Four

Combating Jihadism


Notwithstanding the imperative of obedience to Muslim authority in Verse 4:59, jihadists invoke Hadith injunctions that sanction rebellion against an Islamic ruler if he becomes impious or unjust.

This chapter attributes the breeding of suicide bombers to charismatic political leaders mixing an explosive cocktail made up of three ingredients: Jihad injunctions, predestination dogma, and the promise of houris (beautiful damsels) in paradise.The cocktail alone is safe. To explode, it needs a spark. The spark can be any number of despairing domestic and/or foreign triggers. 

To combat jihadi terror, Chapter Four advocates deactivating these combustible ingredients and defusing the sparks. The chapter concludes that as long as oil is the main source of global energy, the combustible cocktail is unlikely to be deactivated and the sparks are unlikely to be defused. 

Chapter Four concludes that representative democracy can be an effective medicine to combat the appeal of jihadism. It also considers how the Muslim Brotherhood’s embrace of representative democracy might defeat Wahhabi terror.

Chapter Five 

The Effect of Saudi Oil on Derailing the Arab Spring’s Political and Islamic Reforms 

The fifth chapter asserts that the Arab Spring is not expected to sweep through the Arab world smoothly. Oil will stand in the way of reforms in Saudi Arabia and Egypt until it is driven out of world markets by renewable energy. Meanwhile, however, non-oil exporters like Tunisia and Morocco will be able to develop democratic governance without outside hindrance.

The US has been protecting the al-Saud regime for the past 70 years. Why? To control Saudi oil production and price politics and make global oil supply a part of its arsenal of non-lethal weapons of mass destruction. As global demand for oil skyrocketed from 10 million bbl./day in 1950 to 75 million bbl./day in 2000, US protection of Saudi Arabia intensified as well. Not even Wahhabi culpability for 9/11 was sufficient in 2001 to punish the al-Saud regime. Instead, President George W. Bush devastated Iraq, an adventure that empowered Iran. President Obama further empowered Iran with his policies in Iran, Iraq, and Syria.


Chapter Five argues that Washington will protect the al-Saud regime despite its dictatorial rule, hatred-of-the-other culture, human rights abuses, and gender inequality. Ease of dealing/controlling one absolute king who owes his throne and life to US protection is far simpler and more effective than managing scores of parliamentarians and political leaders in a democratic setting. Washington will not pressure the Saudi King to reform for fear that pressure might weaken his control over Saudi Arabia and disrupt oil exports.


Given the strong cultural and societal connections between Egypt and Saudi Arabia, Egypt will not be allowed to evolve democratic rule either. Riyadh, with help from Washington, will keep democracy away from Egypt in the future, just as they did since 1952except for the year between June 30, 2012 and July 3, 2013, under the democratically elected president, Muhammad Morsi. 


Chapter Five presents the view that the Muslim Brotherhood’s embrace of parliamentary democracy in Egypt could have ushered in an era of modernizing Shari’a (Islamic law). How? In a poor country like Egypt, modern laws to reduce poverty and raise employment must be enacted. The new laws would, of course, be labeled as un-Islamic by Islamists. The debates would open taboo subjects, suppressed under blasphemy laws and cultural norms for centuries. The debates would go a long way to modernizing Shari’a laws.



Chapter Six

The Al-Saud Wahhabi Governance 


Chapter Six describes the five constituencies that form the Saudi power pyramid: The al-Saud royals, Wahhabi ulama, tribal sheikhs, the defense and national security establishment, and merchant families. It considers how Wahhabism evolved during the twentieth century, boomeranged on 9/11, then metastasized into increasingly violent terror groups: Boko Haram (Nigeria), the so-called Islamic State (Iraq and Syria), al-Qaeda (regional), Shabab (Somalia), and the Taliban (Afghanistan). 


A hopeful sign is the recent emergence of certain Saudi ulama as agents of political change, calling for elections and separation of government powers. The chapter ends with an argument invoking Verse 42:38 and Prophetic Ahadiths (plural of Hadith; or, words of the Prophet) to counter the Wahhabi palace ulama’s contention that democracy is incompatible with Islam.


Chapter Seven

The US Invasion of Iraq, the Empowerment of Iran, and Opening Sunni/Shi’ite Gates of Hell 

Chapter Seven explores the reasons that could have driven the G.W. Bush administration (2000-2008) to wreak its revenge for the 9/11 attacks on an innocent country, Iraq, instead of Saudi Arabia. 


The chapter argues that wittingly or unwittingly, Mr. Bush handed Iraq to Iran on a silver platter without Iran having to fire a shot. President Obama (2008-2016) added to Bush’s performance. He embraced Iran’s sectarian proxy prime minister in Baghdad, Nouri al-Maliki (2006-2014); midwifed the P5+1 nuclear agreement (signed in July 2015); prematurely removed all US troops from Iraq (December 2011), and handed Syria to Iran. The cost to the US was huge. The cost to Iraq and Syria was far greater. 

The march of Shi’ism opened the gates of hell in the Muslim Middle East. These wars have already destroyed, not only most of Iraq, but also most of Syria and Yemen, killed and injured more than five million, and created more than fifteen million refugees. Now that Pandora’s Box has been opened, the Shi’ite/Sunni wars will rage for decades.  

Chapter Seven examines Iran’s strategic influence in Iraq and what lurks behind Iran’s desperate drive to control the Shi’ite dominated southern Iraq and the Baghdad government

It ends with addressing Iraq’s superior religious credentials in the world of Shi’ism to that of Iran and the stronger attachment of Arab Shi’tes to Iraq than Iran.

Chapter Eight
The Bible Faces the Qur’an in Palestine
Chapter Eight focuses on the root cause of the Palestinian/Arab-Israeli conflict and on contemplating a solution based on a single state for Arabs and Jews. The chapter starts by describing Islam’s veneration of Judaism. The Qur’an praises Abraham as the first Muslim, and describes Islam as the “religion of Abraham.”

Two events on Palestine embittered the Arab peoples. The first was the Sykes-Picot Agreement (May 19, 1916). It was secretly negotiated by London and Paris to carve up the Levant between them. The second was the Balfour Declaration (November 2, 1917). The British Foreign Secretary, Lord Balfour, offered lands Britain never owned in Palestine to the Zionist Federation.

To justify offering Palestine as a Jewish home, Zionist leaders promoted the slogan: “A land without people to a people without land.” However, as far back as 1893, the lowest estimate of the number of Palestinians was 410,000. According to the 1922 census, Mandatory Palestine had a population of 673,000 Palestinians (589,000 Muslims plus 84,000 Christians) and 71,000 Jews.

The founding of modern-day Israel was based on a biblical covenant, which politicized the Bible. In reaction, the Qur’an was politicized. Unless the Bible is depoliticized, wars between Arabs and Jews could go on for a thousand years. 
Chapter Eight argues that a purely Jewish Israel is impossible to attain, unless the Palestinian Israeli citizens simply vanish. It also argues that a two-state solutionis not viable, due to a myriad of thorny issues: Jerusalem, borders, security for Israel and Palestine, water rights, Jewish settlers, the status of the Palestinian Israelis, and the right of return for the refugees.
Instead, a single, democratic, and secular state for Palestinians and Jews based on equal citizenship and constitutional protection of religious, ethnic, and national identities promises to be a better long-term prospect. Arabs and Jews can live together peacebly. 850,000 Jews were living in Arab lands for centuries pre 1948. President Trump’s decision on December 6, 2017, to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital has effectively put an end to the two-state solution, leaving the single-state as the only alternative.
The Palestinians did not take anything from Israel. For a durable long-term peace, Israel should not stonewall the Oslo Accords and the Arab Peace Initiative. 
As the Palestinian problem festers, downtrodden Palestinians and Arabs, exploited by charismatic politicians, will turn to God for deliverance. Israeli policies have been driving increasing numbers of otherwise moderate Muslims toward Islamism and jihadism.
The chapter ends by quoting an essay written by Avraham Burg, former speaker of Israel’s Knesset (1999-2003) and a former chairman of the Jewish Agency titled “The end of Zionism”.




Chapter Nine 

Sectarianism, Dictatorship, and the Destruction of Most of Syria

Chapter Nine addresses the Syrian revolution; what led to it, weaponizing it, Islamicizing it, the myriad parties involved in it, the horrendous toll of it, and finally a likely solution. 

The chapter argues that in religion-gripped Syria, it is unsustainable for a non-representative totalitarian, Assad-ruled 10% Alawite minority to rule over and abuse the 75% Sunni majority forever. It has already brought disaster. 

The Assad regime stands on three pillars. The first is multiple brutal security forces. Amnesty International documented 38 types of terrifying torture methods used by the regime. The second is exploitation of Sunni Islam. The palace clerics threaten the faithful with God’s wrath if they fail to obey Assad blindly, exploiting Verse 4:59. The third is a bombastic war of words against Israel to justify the alliance with Iran and the imposition of emergency laws since 1963 that terrorize the populace. 

Fifty years of police state cruelty were challenged on March 18, 2011 with small protests in the city of Dar’a. Within a few days, Assad had weaponized the protests. He ordered the army to shoot to kill. To avoid the ire of Western public opinion for killing unarmed civilians, he Islamicized the revolution. In a Machiavellian strategy of blackmail legitimacy, he released hardened jihadists from prisons, to make the East and the West choose between tyranny or the jihadists. 

The Assad regime has decapitated organized opposition for the past 50 years. There were no political parties or community leaders to lead the uprising. Some 1,500 different groups appeared on the battlefield. The revolution suffered from relying on Saudi Arabia and Qatar. The two states hate each other. They are US protectorates. President Obama ignored both. 

Obama’s intentions against the revolution became clear quickly. He prevented the supply of anti-warplane guns and repudiated his own red line on Assad’s use of chemical weaponson August 21, 2013. Without US support, the revolution was doomed.Most of Syria was destroyed, with two thirds of Syria’s 20-million population dead, injured and displaced. By aiding in the destruction of Syria, Obama empowered Iran beyond the Bush years.


Only Moscow and Washington can resolve the Syrian calamity, most likely through a barter exchange, a cease fire arrangement to be monitored by a U.N./Arab force, removal of Assad, democratic elections, and a truth and reconciliation commission. It would be sensible to create a democratic system of governance with self-ruled regions within a federal Syria, based on sectarian and ethnic lines: Alawites, Christians, Druzes, Isma’ilis, Sunnis, Arabs, Armenian,Assyrians, Circassian,Kurds, Syriacs, and Turkman. 


The US can take advantage of Syrians’ hatred of Assad and Russia to arm a new Syrian army from amongst the 12 million Syrians displaced inside and outside the country, and who lost homes and relatives. Washington could turn Syria into an Afghanistan for Russia without the involvement of American troops, save for advisors and weapons. Whether the Trump White House would choose to invoke this option is uncertain, given Mr. Trump’s mysterious fascination with Mr. Putin.


Oil and God


Wars in recent years have devastated the Gaza Strip, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. Sectarian tensions grip Bahrain, Iran, Kuwait, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia. What lurks behind the mayhem? Oil and God argues that the answer is to be found in the nexus of Saudi oil, God, and US oil politics. 
Religious extremism surfaced in the Middle East in the aftermath of the First World War in 1918. On the ashes of the Ottoman Empire, Britain and France created new states in the Middle East with different religious agendas. Wahhabism (1932), Judaism (1948), Alawism (1963), and Shi’ism (1979) exploded nasty devastating wars in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and the Gaza Strip. Millions of Muslims were killed and injured, millions more were displaced or made refugees.
Aside from mayhem and tragedy in the Middle East, Muslim refugees set off alarm bells in Europe. Acts of terror by followers of the so-called Islamic State rocked Western cities. Fear of more acts of terror put security forces on a constant state of alert. Far right anti-immigrant politicians were elected. They widened the religious, cultural, and ethnic divide between the East and the West. President Trump’s anti-Muslim statements and travel ban on citizens of certain Muslim majority countries helped fan the fires of Islamophobia. He encourages far right politicians to follow suit.
The firm hand of the Sunni Hanafi Sultans kept religious extremism in the Ottoman Empire under control for six centuries (1280-1918). The Sultans ruled over most of the Arab world for four centuries (1517-1918). They were tolerant. They did not force their Christian subjects in the Balkans in the sixteenth century, for example, to convert to Islam. Had they done so, the cruel Christian/Muslim battles and Catholic/Orthodox fights (1991-1999) in the former Yugoslavia four centuries later would probably not have happened. The tolerance of the Turkish Sultans was also demonstrated in 1492, when Sultan Bayezid-II (1481-1512) allowed Jews, driven out from Spain and Portugal, to settle in Ottoman territories and rebuild their lives.
Significant Events That Loom Large Behind the Mayhem
Chronologically, six events loom large:
·     1932: Formation of the Wahhabi State of Saudi Arabia
·     1948: Creation of the Zionist State of Israel
·     1963: Advent of the Alawite regime in Syria
·     1979: Emergence of the Khomeini Shi’ite regime in Iran
·     September 11, 2001: The cataclysmic Wahhabi terror in the US
·     Birth of the Shi’ite Crescent
Kemal Ataturk’s secularization of the Turkish Republic in the 1920s blamed the decline and defeat of the Ottoman Empire on a rigid Islam in a European world of the Enlightenment, Reformation, and the Industrial Revolution. On the other hand, Abdulaziz al-Saud and his Abdulwahhab compatriots blamed the decline on the Sultans for corrupting the “true” tenets of Islam. They saw the road to greatness through the imposition of the most extreme among the four of Sunni rites. They rebelled against Istanbul. With British help, the rebellion succeeded in creating the Wahhabi state of Saudi Arabia in 1932. 
With US protection The Wahhabi enterprise has flourished to this day, thanks to Saudi Arabia’s vast oil resources. US control over Saudi/GCC oil exports is like a non-lethal weapon of mass destruction. As global demand for oil increased from 10 million bbl./day in 1950 to 75 million bbl./day in 2000, US protection of Saudi Arabia intensified as well. Not even the atrocities of 9/11 could make G.W. Bush retaliate against Riyadh. Instead, he demolished Iraq; empowering Iran.
Wahhabism radicalized Islam and polarized Muslims. Propagated in schools, mosques, and the media, palace clerics in Saudi Arabia made hatred of Christians, Jews, and Shi’ites a part of Wahhabi culture. They attack democracy as a Western conspiracy to destroy Islam. Billions of dollars have been spent to convert Arab and non-Arab Muslims to the Wahhabi creed. Expatriate workers who lived in Saudi Arabia and became indoctrinated in the Wahhabi ways act as foot soldiers in the Saudi campaign. During the past twenty years, Wahhabism metastasized. What was al-Qaeda has become Boko Haram, the so-called Islamic State, Shabab, and Taliban. Also, a new breed of terrorist emerged—the lone-wolf. Using a knife or a car, he has terrorized Berlin, London, New York, Nice, Paris, and Stockholm.
When the Jews politicized the Old Testament of the Bible, the Arabs responded by politicizing the Quran. This ignited a conflict that will burn for generations if not resolved. It ignited wars; regionally (1948, 1967, 1973), in Lebanon (1982 and 2006), and the Gaza Strip (2008, 2012, 2014) plus numerous other battles. It created five million refugees in UNRWA’s camps. To compound matters, on December 6, 2017, President Trump escalated the religious nature of the conflict: He moved the US embassy to Jerusalem. To coerce Palestinians to accept the decision, he added salt to injury. He eliminated decades-old US humanitarian assistance programs to Palestinians.
Israeli and US denial of a connection between Israel’s occupation, oppression, and humiliation of Arabs and Palestinians and the growth of jihadism is as obtuse as Saudi Arabia’s denial of a connection between the Wahhabi way of life and the atrocities of 9/11.
Alawites, around 10 percent of Syria’s population, consider Ali bin Abi Talib as the “incarnation of the deity.” Sunnis reject such beliefs as disbelief and idolatry.
In 1963, Hafiz al-Assad seized power. A brutal police state followed. Amnesty International documented 38 types of torture used in the regime’s jails. Grand scale corruption glues a narrow ruling group together.
On March 18, 2011, the pressure cooker exploded. The regime turned to Russia, Iran, Hezbollah, and Shi’ite mercenaries for help. Eight years later, two million citizens were killed and maimed, may be more. Twelve million citizens were displaced internally and in neighboring countries. Most cities and town were demolished.
It may be said that the Islamic Iranian revolution was in part, at least, a reaction to Wahhabi hatred and abuse of Shi’ites. Shi’ism incorporates the ethnic and cultural differences between Persians and Arabs. It is a repository of the memories of their wars and rivalries over the long sweep of history. Shi’ism may be described as a Persianized version of Arabian Islam. Fundamental differences in theology, laws, and rituals separate the two. 
The Iranian revolution exacerbated the Shi’ite/Sunni divide. It led to the eight-year war between Iran and Iraq (September 1980-August 1988), which aggravated the already deep enmity between Wahhabis and Shi’ites.
September 11, 2001
On that terrible day, nineteen Wahhabi terrorists flew passenger air planes into buildings in New York and Washington D.C. The heinous attacks may be seen as a conscious strategy by Osama bin Laden to provoke a devastating and long-term American retaliation against Muslims in order to deepen Muslim/Christian hatred of one another.
The Shi’ite Crescent
The attack on Iraq opened the gates of sectarian hell in the Muslim Middle East. G.W. Bush’s misadventure in Iraq handed Baghdad to Tehran and Obama’s inaction in Syria empowered Iran further. A Shi’ite Crescent was born from Iran to Iraq, Syria, and Hezbollah in Lebanon. In July 2006, war broke out between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Proxy wars between Saudi Arabia and Iran devastated Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. Tension escalated between the Sunni and Shi’ite populations in Bahrain, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. 
As life becomes harsher in the Middle East due to constant warfare, occupation, oppression, and humiliation, the downtrodden faithful turn to God. The belief in predestination, jihad, and the promised delights of paradise make martyrdom more worthwhile than their current lives.
Oil and God contends that once oil is replaced by sustainable sources of energy, Saudi Arabia's oil will cease to be of interest to Washington. The day will be brought closer if US rivals like China, continental Europe, India, and Japan develop sufficient green energy capacity to stop the importation of oil. Without America’s protection and oil wealth the power of Saudi Arabia will fade, religious and democratic reforms in the Arab Middle East will stand a chance, and Wahhabi terror will diminish. When that happens, Huntington’s “great divisions among humankind” will start to narrow.
The Middle East and the Samuel P. Huntington Clash of Civilizations
The transformation of the Middle East since 1918 demonstrates the validity of Samuel P. Huntington’s hypothesis on the "Clash of Civilizations.” Recognizing the stresses cultural differences may create, Samuel P. Huntington wrote in Foreign Affairs in 1993:
It is my hypothesis that the fundamental source of conflict in this new world will not be primarily ideological or primarily economic. The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. Nation states will remain the most powerful actors in world affairs, but the principal conflicts of global politics will occur between nations and groups of different civilizations. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.[1]

A Crystal Ball Look. Oil and God contends that between 2030/2040, the Huntington “great divisions among humankind” could start to narrow. As the ban on the sale of petrol cars in Asia and Europe becomes effective, Saudi oil exports would collapse, US protection of the Saudi regime would end, Arab religious and democratic reforms would stand a chance, and Wahhabi terror would be defeated.


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[1] Samuel Huntington,The Clash of Civilizations?” Foreign Affairs, (Summer 1993).